Jul 2, 2018
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Nike shares hit record as investors cheer North America rebound

Jul 2, 2018

Nike Inc’s shares jumped 12 percent to their all-time high on Friday after the world’s largest shoe maker saw a major sales rebound in its North America business and forecast strong growth for 2019.

Nike Air Max - Nike

At least 14 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets following Nike’s better-than-expected quarterly results, with Susquehanna the most bullish, raising its target by $14.

“Nike delivered the closest thing to a complete game for a public company,” said Barclays analyst Matthew McClintock, who boosted his target to $85 from $80.

The company’s focus on its digital platform and launch of sneakers, such as Air Max 270 and Epic React, not only helped it fight off competition from German rivals Adidas and Puma, but also deliver on its promise of a significant reversal in its home market.

The Oregon-based company is also gaining on the resurgence of ‘90s fashion trends that is helping boost sales of its classic sneakers. Industry research shows that sneaker sales rose 10 percent globally last year.

Nike shares rose to $79.98 in early trading, adding $13 billion to its market value of about $115 billion. The stock was the top gainer on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Sales at its North America business rose 3.3 percent in the quarter after having fallen for most of the year.

“The Nike story is officially back at this point and investors will no longer have an opportunity to ‘wait for a better entry point’ as all signs point to an acceleration,” McClintock said.

Analysts at Credit Suisse said strong results prove that several years of distribution disruption, bloated inventories, lackluster innovation, and market share losses are in the past.

The company also said it expects 2019 revenue to be in the high single-digit range, compared with its earlier forecast of mid-to-high single-digit growth. It also announced a $15 billion buyback program.
“Nike’s business is beginning to inflect in NA, and we expect the company to continue to recapture the share it has lost to Adidas,” Jefferies analysts said in a note titled ‘Share Gains Back = ADI-os!’

Nike’s shares have risen nearly 15 percent this year, while Adidas’ shares have gained 10 percent. Nike trades at 26.5 times forward earnings, versus Adidas’ 20.50 times.

Wall Street’s sentiment on the stock is bullish, with 21 of the 36 analysts covering the stock rating it “buy”. The median price target on the stock is $81.00, up from $75.00 a month ago.

“They are becoming a halo brand,” said Jessica Ramirez, retail analyst at Jane Hali & Associates.

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